diff --git a/internal/gateway/settle.go b/internal/gateway/settle.go
index 99a6b23..906851f 100644
--- a/internal/gateway/settle.go
+++ b/internal/gateway/settle.go
@@ -120,7 +120,11 @@ func (g *Gateway) HandleCallback(ctx context.Context, method string, in provider
 		return g.recordChargeback(ctx, method, ev) // Task 6
 	default: // EventPayment:一次性 / 订阅首期
 		res, serr := g.Settle(ctx, ev)
-		if serr == nil && ev.SubscriptionRef != "" {
+		// 门必须按结算结果开,不能只看 serr==nil:Settle 对非成功状态(如 Stripe
+		// checkout.session.completed 的 payment_status=unpaid 异步支付)返回
+		// (SettleIgnored, nil)——serr 为 nil 但订单并未结算,不能诞生订阅。
+		// Duplicate = 成功结算的重放(已 paid/已终态),安全且保证重投幂等路径仍能补建订阅行。
+		if (res == SettleProcessed || res == SettleDuplicate) && ev.SubscriptionRef != "" {
 			if aerr := g.onSubscriptionActivated(ctx, ev); aerr != nil {
 				return SettleFailed, aerr // 诞生订阅失败可重试(Stripe 重投)
 			}
diff --git a/internal/gateway/subscription.go b/internal/gateway/subscription.go
index 062f6f9..dd58d52 100644
--- a/internal/gateway/subscription.go
+++ b/internal/gateway/subscription.go
@@ -4,6 +4,7 @@ import (
 	"context"
 	"errors"
 	"fmt"
+	"log"
 	"time"
 
 	"github.com/wangjia/pay/internal/model"
@@ -107,6 +108,12 @@ func (g *Gateway) onSubscriptionActivated(ctx context.Context, ev *provider.Paid
 	if err != nil {
 		return err
 	}
+	if !o.Status.Settled() {
+		// 纵深防御:HandleCallback 的门(res==Processed/Duplicate)已挡住未结算订单,
+		// 这里再核一遍订单状态,防止未来调用点绕过门直接调用本函数。
+		log.Printf("[subscription] onSubscriptionActivated 订单未结算 out_trade_no=%s status=%s,拒绝激活", o.OutTradeNo, o.Status)
+		return nil
+	}
 	subID := "SUB-" + att.OutTradeNo // 与 CreateSubscription 同式派生 → 重投算出同一 SubID,Create 幂等
 	created, err := g.subs.Create(&model.Subscription{
 		SubID: subID, OutTradeNo: o.OutTradeNo, BizSystem: o.BizSystem, BizRef: o.BizRef, BizCode: o.BizCode,
diff --git a/internal/gateway/subscription_test.go b/internal/gateway/subscription_test.go
index f510114..adc2145 100644
--- a/internal/gateway/subscription_test.go
+++ b/internal/gateway/subscription_test.go
@@ -306,6 +306,49 @@ func TestSettleRenewal(t *testing.T) {
 	}
 }
 
+// TestSubscriptionNotActivatedOnUnpaidSession 复现 CRITICAL 发现:Stripe checkout.session.completed
+// 在异步支付方式下可能 payment_status=unpaid(映射为 PaidPending)先到达,此时 Settle 返回
+// SettleIgnored——订阅诞生钩子必须跟随结算结果关门,不能只看 serr==nil(nil error 但未结算)。
+// 断言:无 Subscription 行诞生、无 subscription.created 入队、订单仍 pending。
+func TestSubscriptionNotActivatedOnUnpaidSession(t *testing.T) {
+	g, fp, spy, orders, subs := newSubGateway(t)
+	ctx := context.Background()
+	res, err := g.CreateSubscription(ctx, gateway.CreateSubscriptionInput{
+		SKU: "pro_monthly", Method: "substripe", BizSystem: "pangolin", BizRef: "u-1",
+	})
+	if err != nil {
+		t.Fatalf("CreateSubscription: %v", err)
+	}
+
+	// checkout.session.completed(异步支付,payment_status=unpaid)归一化为 PaidPending。
+	raw, err := json.Marshal(provider.PaidEvent{
+		Kind: provider.EventPayment, ProviderRef: fp.sessionRef, Status: provider.PaidPending,
+		PaidAmountMinor: 2999, PaidCurrency: "USD", SubscriptionRef: "sub_new",
+	})
+	if err != nil {
+		t.Fatalf("marshal event: %v", err)
+	}
+
+	result, err := g.HandleCallback(ctx, "substripe", provider.CallbackInput{Raw: raw})
+	if err != nil {
+		t.Fatalf("HandleCallback: %v", err)
+	}
+	if result != gateway.SettleIgnored {
+		t.Fatalf("result = %v, want ignored", result)
+	}
+
+	o, err := orders.GetOrder(res.OrderNo)
+	if err != nil || o.Status != model.OrderPendingV2 {
+		t.Fatalf("order after unpaid callback = %+v, %v, want still pending", o, err)
+	}
+	if _, err := subs.GetByProviderRef("substripe", "sub_new"); !errors.Is(err, store.ErrSubNotFound) {
+		t.Fatalf("subscription should not exist for unpaid session, err = %v", err)
+	}
+	if len(spy.calls) != 0 {
+		t.Fatalf("webhook calls = %d, want 0(no premature subscription.created): %+v", len(spy.calls), spy.calls)
+	}
+}
+
 // TestSettleRenewalUnknownSubscription 未知 provider_sub_ref(订阅未诞生/已清理)→ 忽略,不报错。
 func TestSettleRenewalUnknownSubscription(t *testing.T) {
 	g, _, spy, _, _ := newSubGateway(t)